Copa Libertadores Grupo D round 3

Alianza Lima vs Talleres Córdoba analysis

Alianza Lima Talleres Córdoba
79 ELO 84
-12.2% Tilt -10.4%
715º General ELO ranking 300º
Country ELO ranking 31º
ELO win probability
31.9%
Alianza Lima
27.8%
Draw
40.3%
Talleres Córdoba

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.9%
Win probability
Alianza Lima
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
40.3%
Win probability
Talleres Córdoba
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Alianza Lima
-1%
-8%
Talleres Córdoba

ELO progression

Alianza Lima
Talleres Córdoba
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Alianza Lima
Alianza Lima
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Apr. 2025
ALI
Alianza Lima
1 - 0
Los Chankas
SRP
46%
27%
26%
78 74 4 0
15 Apr. 2025
CDG
Deportivo Garcilaso
0 - 1
Alianza Lima
ALI
42%
28%
31%
78 75 3 0
11 Apr. 2025
SAO
São Paulo
2 - 2
Alianza Lima
ALI
66%
21%
14%
77 87 10 +1
06 Apr. 2025
ALI
Alianza Lima
1 - 1
Universitario Deportes
UNI
42%
30%
28%
77 78 1 0
02 Apr. 2025
ALI
Alianza Lima
0 - 1
Libertad
LIB
40%
26%
34%
77 78 1 0

Matches

Talleres Córdoba
Talleres Córdoba
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Apr. 2025
TAL
Talleres Córdoba
0 - 1
Vélez Sarsfield
VEL
43%
27%
29%
84 84 0 0
14 Apr. 2025
RIV
River Plate
1 - 1
Talleres Córdoba
TAL
48%
26%
26%
84 84 0 0
09 Apr. 2025
LIB
Libertad
2 - 0
Talleres Córdoba
TAL
37%
27%
37%
84 78 6 0
05 Apr. 2025
TAL
Talleres Córdoba
2 - 0
Gimnasia La Plata
GLP
45%
28%
27%
84 84 0 0
03 Apr. 2025
TAL
Talleres Córdoba
0 - 1
São Paulo
SAO
39%
27%
34%
84 87 3 0