Alianza Lima vs Sporting Cristal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
27.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2004 |
ALI
2 - 1
ALI
50%
25%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
BOL
2 - 6
ALI
36%
26%
38%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2004 |
ALI
1 - 0
VAL
56%
24%
20%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
CAU
1 - 1
ALI
20%
27%
53%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2004 |
ALI
0 - 1
CIE
50%
25%
26%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2004 |
SPC
3 - 0
CAU
83%
12%
6%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
ALI
1 - 1
SPC
52%
24%
24%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2004 |
BOC
2 - 1
SPC
62%
22%
17%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
VAL
0 - 3
SPC
37%
26%
37%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2004 |
SBO
0 - 2
SPC
30%
27%
43%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |