Alianza Lima vs Pacífico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
28%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
26.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
UTC
1 - 2
ALI
35%
29%
36%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
MEL
2 - 0
ALI
46%
27%
27%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -2 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
ALI
2 - 0
GAR
37%
29%
34%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
VAL
0 - 0
ALI
46%
27%
27%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2012 |
ALI
0 - 0
MEL
50%
26%
24%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Pacífico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
PAC
1 - 0
AUR
52%
26%
21%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
PAC
3 - 0
ACO
77%
16%
7%
|
71 | 45 | 26 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
ATL
1 - 2
PAC
24%
28%
48%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
PAC
3 - 2
LOS
58%
25%
18%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
AUN
2 - 2
PAC
49%
27%
24%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |