Alianza Lima vs Deportivo Llacuabamba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
21.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2020 |
MEL
0 - 4
ALI
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2020 |
ALI
1 - 2
MUN
44%
26%
30%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2020 |
ALI
1 - 2
AYA
40%
26%
34%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2020 |
NAC
2 - 0
ALI
69%
19%
12%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
CIE
2 - 1
ALI
61%
21%
17%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Llacuabamba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2020 |
LLA
1 - 0
AYA
33%
27%
40%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2020 |
VAL
2 - 0
LLA
67%
21%
12%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
LLA
3 - 0
SBO
42%
27%
31%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2020 |
LLA
2 - 3
VAL
30%
28%
42%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2020 |
FCS
3 - 3
LLA
54%
25%
21%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |