Alianza Lima vs Alianza Universidad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
14.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
MEL
2 - 3
ALI
47%
26%
27%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
ALI
2 - 2
MAN
60%
23%
17%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
SAM
2 - 3
ALI
40%
26%
34%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
ALI
3 - 2
PIR
64%
22%
14%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
UNI
1 - 0
ALI
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza Universidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
AUN
2 - 4
HUA
30%
27%
43%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2019 |
BIN
7 - 0
AUN
72%
19%
10%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
COM
1 - 0
AUN
54%
25%
22%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
AUN
2 - 1
MEL
37%
27%
37%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
MAN
0 - 0
AUN
61%
22%
18%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |