Alianza FC vs UMECIT analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
27.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
5º
8º
5º
10
4º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
16 | 31 |
1º
|
58.5% | |
|
2º
|
13 | 28 |
2º
|
30.5% | |
|
3º
|
11 | 26 |
3º
|
18.5% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 24 |
4º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
8 | 22 |
5º
|
9% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 22 |
6º
|
10% | |
|
|
4º
|
10 | 22 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 20 |
8º
|
9% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 19 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 19 |
10º
|
18.5% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 15 |
11º
|
26.5% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 12 |
12º
|
58.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
2% | 2.5% |
|
Play-offs
|
16.5% | 13.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
81.5% | 84% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2025 |
AFC
2 - 3
AMA
39%
29%
32%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2025 |
ARA
1 - 1
AFC
39%
28%
33%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2025 |
AFC
2 - 1
SMI
42%
30%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2025 |
TAU
2 - 1
AFC
43%
27%
30%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
AFC
3 - 2
ARA
38%
30%
31%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
UMECIT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2025 |
TAU
1 - 1
UME
47%
27%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2025 |
UME
0 - 2
AMA
40%
29%
32%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2025 |
UME
1 - 0
ARA
41%
29%
30%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2025 |
SMI
0 - 1
UME
49%
27%
24%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
UME
1 - 1
IND
33%
27%
40%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |