Alianza FC vs Árabe Unido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
36.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2016 |
AFC
1 - 1
AMA
46%
26%
27%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
SFF
1 - 2
AFC
55%
26%
19%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
AFC
0 - 2
CHE
49%
26%
25%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
NAC
3 - 2
AFC
44%
28%
28%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
CHO
1 - 0
AFC
49%
27%
24%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Árabe Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
CHO
0 - 4
ARA
40%
30%
31%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
ARA
1 - 0
TAU
49%
27%
25%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
CHI
0 - 1
ARA
28%
29%
43%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
ARA
2 - 2
SMI
49%
27%
25%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2016 |
ARA
1 - 2
NAC
61%
24%
15%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | -1 |