Clausura Peru Round 11

Alianza Atl. Sullana vs Sporting Cristal analysis

Alianza Atl. Sullana Sporting Cristal
68 ELO 75
-2.4% Tilt -8.9%
929º General ELO ranking 726º
10º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
41%
Alianza Atl. Sullana
28.1%
Draw
30.9%
Sporting Cristal

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41%
Win probability
Alianza Atl. Sullana
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
30.9%
Win probability
Sporting Cristal
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Alianza Atl. Sullana
+15%
+10%
Sporting Cristal

ELO progression

Alianza Atl. Sullana
Sporting Cristal
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Alianza Atl. Sullana
Alianza Atl. Sullana
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Sep. 2008
SAM
Univ. San Martín
3 - 1
Alianza Atl. Sullana
ALI
60%
24%
16%
69 77 8 0
31 Aug. 2008
ALI
Alianza Atl. Sullana
1 - 1
Universitario Deportes
UNI
44%
28%
28%
69 74 5 0
24 Aug. 2008
MEL
FBC Melgar
0 - 0
Alianza Atl. Sullana
ALI
47%
27%
26%
69 66 3 0
17 Aug. 2008
ALI
Alianza Atl. Sullana
3 - 2
José Gálvez
GAL
53%
26%
22%
68 66 2 +1
13 Aug. 2008
SBO
Sport Boys Association
0 - 0
Alianza Atl. Sullana
ALI
37%
28%
35%
68 63 5 0

Matches

Sporting Cristal
Sporting Cristal
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Sep. 2008
SPC
Sporting Cristal
1 - 0
Atletico Minero Matucana
ATL
67%
20%
13%
75 67 8 0
31 Aug. 2008
BOL
Bolognesi Tacna
0 - 1
Sporting Cristal
SPC
42%
29%
29%
74 70 4 +1
23 Aug. 2008
SPC
Sporting Cristal
2 - 1
Sport Ancash Huaraz
SPO
65%
20%
15%
74 66 8 0
17 Aug. 2008
CIE
Cienciano
2 - 1
Sporting Cristal
SPC
55%
24%
21%
75 74 1 -1
14 Aug. 2008
UNI
Universitario Deportes
1 - 2
Sporting Cristal
SPC
53%
25%
22%
74 75 1 +1