Algés vs União Mercês analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.2%
Win probability
3.11
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.1%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.3%
4-0
10.2%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.1%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.6%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
9.1%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.1%
3.6%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Algés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
ALG
4 - 4
OLI
50%
22%
28%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
MEM
6 - 2
ALG
59%
20%
21%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
ALG
4 - 5
ADC
63%
19%
18%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
BOB
5 - 0
ALG
62%
20%
18%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
ALG
2 - 1
AGU
82%
12%
6%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
União Mercês
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
UME
3 - 6
MEM
9%
16%
75%
|
8 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
ADC
3 - 2
UME
83%
12%
5%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
UME
1 - 3
BOB
9%
16%
75%
|
9 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
AGU
1 - 0
UME
53%
22%
25%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
UME
2 - 3
CAR
33%
23%
44%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | -1 |