Algeciras CF vs Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
22%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
14.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Algeciras CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
BAR
1 - 2
ALG
38%
28%
33%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
ALG
2 - 2
BAL
55%
25%
20%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
PAL
1 - 0
ALG
26%
30%
44%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
ALG
2 - 0
JER
70%
20%
10%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
AYA
0 - 0
ALG
20%
29%
51%
|
49 | 31 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
LUC
3 - 0
CEU
64%
21%
15%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
CAD
1 - 2
LUC
55%
24%
21%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
LUC
1 - 1
SFE
27%
28%
45%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
XRZ
2 - 0
LUC
28%
26%
46%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | -2 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
LUC
0 - 0
MAI
51%
28%
22%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |