Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 1-0
Algeciras CF vs Jerez Industrial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
12.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Algeciras CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1975 |
ALG
1 - 0
MEL
64%
24%
12%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1975 |
CDB
0 - 3
ALG
68%
22%
10%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +2 |
| 26 Oct. 1975 |
ALG
1 - 0
RJA
46%
32%
23%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 1975 |
JER
1 - 1
ALG
62%
25%
14%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1975 |
JER
0 - 0
ALG
61%
21%
18%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Jerez Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1975 |
LIN
3 - 1
JER
75%
19%
6%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1975 |
JER
3 - 0
IMP
89%
9%
3%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1975 |
ORI
2 - 0
JER
63%
25%
12%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 1975 |
JER
1 - 1
ALG
62%
25%
14%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1975 |
JER
0 - 0
ALG
61%
21%
18%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |