Alfreton Town vs Worksop Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
35.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfreton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2006 |
ALF
3 - 2
HED
49%
24%
27%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2006 |
VAU
3 - 1
ALF
48%
25%
27%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2006 |
HUC
1 - 0
ALF
63%
20%
17%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2005 |
ALF
1 - 1
HUC
30%
26%
44%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2005 |
GAI
2 - 2
ALF
57%
23%
21%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Worksop Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2006 |
WOR
1 - 2
WOR
39%
25%
37%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2006 |
GAI
2 - 0
WOR
45%
25%
30%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 2005 |
WOR
0 - 2
MOO
51%
23%
26%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2005 |
WOR
1 - 1
GAI
54%
23%
23%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2005 |
WOR
1 - 1
WOR
46%
25%
29%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |