Alfreton Town vs Vauxhall Motors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
10.1%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfreton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2010 |
ALF
2 - 0
RFC
67%
20%
13%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
BLY
1 - 4
ALF
24%
25%
51%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2010 |
ALF
2 - 1
GAI
70%
19%
11%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
HYD
1 - 5
ALF
26%
25%
48%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2010 |
RED
1 - 5
ALF
21%
25%
54%
|
55 | 35 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Vauxhall Motors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2010 |
WOR
2 - 1
VAU
61%
23%
16%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
VAU
2 - 2
GUI
23%
22%
55%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2010 |
STA
1 - 4
VAU
65%
19%
16%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +2 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
VAU
2 - 3
WOR
46%
25%
29%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2010 |
VAU
0 - 1
AFC
45%
25%
31%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -1 |