Alfreton Town vs Gloucester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
32.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfreton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
CUR
1 - 2
ALF
48%
25%
27%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
LEA
0 - 3
ALF
52%
24%
25%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +2 |
| 23 Nov. 2021 |
SOU
2 - 0
ALF
62%
21%
17%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
ALF
1 - 4
KID
33%
26%
42%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -2 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
GAT
2 - 1
ALF
62%
21%
18%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Gloucester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
GLO
2 - 0
SPE
34%
25%
41%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
GLO
3 - 0
KET
31%
24%
46%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +2 |
| 23 Nov. 2021 |
GLO
1 - 3
KID
25%
25%
50%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
DAR
2 - 2
GLO
57%
22%
21%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
GLO
2 - 0
FAR
44%
23%
33%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |