Alfreton Town vs Fleetwood Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
31%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfreton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2009 |
ALF
1 - 2
COR
50%
23%
28%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
COR
1 - 1
ALF
40%
24%
36%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
HIN
2 - 1
ALF
28%
27%
45%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2009 |
ALF
2 - 0
ILK
62%
22%
16%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
ALF
3 - 1
RFC
67%
19%
14%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Fleetwood Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
FLE
2 - 0
NOR
52%
22%
26%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
FLE
8 - 0
RED
68%
19%
13%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2009 |
FLE
2 - 2
TOW
71%
18%
11%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
NOR
2 - 1
FLE
55%
22%
24%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
FLE
2 - 2
ALF
46%
26%
28%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |