Alexandria Reds vs First State analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
7%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
14.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alexandria Reds
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2022 |
FRE
1 - 3
ALR
35%
22%
43%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
ALR
3 - 0
GSU
79%
13%
8%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
VIR
0 - 0
ALR
43%
22%
35%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
First State
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2022 |
NVU
2 - 1
FST
72%
16%
13%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2022 |
FST
2 - 4
NVU
29%
22%
50%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
FST
5 - 1
ECS
86%
9%
5%
|
26 | 13 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
FST
8 - 2
TOR
79%
13%
8%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
FST
1 - 2
FCM
22%
20%
58%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | -1 |