Alera vs Olvega SD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.2%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.8%
57.1%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
4%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
ALE
0 - 3
EUR
21%
22%
57%
|
5 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
BAR
3 - 0
ALE
49%
20%
31%
|
5 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
ALE
2 - 4
PUY
50%
20%
31%
|
5 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
PIN
5 - 0
ALE
73%
15%
12%
|
5 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
ALE
1 - 2
UNC
45%
20%
35%
|
5 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Olvega SD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
PIN
2 - 2
OLV
54%
20%
26%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
PRA
1 - 2
OLV
49%
22%
29%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
OLV
1 - 2
LUN
47%
22%
31%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
EUR
2 - 1
OLV
42%
24%
35%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
OLV
3 - 1
BAR
65%
18%
17%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |