Alemannia Mariadorf vs Germania Erftstadt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.9%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.2%
1-0
1.9%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.5%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.7%
82.4%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
12%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.7%
0-3
11.5%
1-4
5.5%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.1%
0-4
8.3%
1-5
3.2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
12%
0-5
4.8%
1-6
1.5%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
6.5%
0-6
2.3%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3%
0-7
0.9%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.2%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemannia Mariadorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2017 |
AAA
6 - 3
ALE
78%
13%
9%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
ALE
2 - 3
SVS
8%
14%
77%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
DUR
9 - 1
ALE
89%
8%
3%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
ALE
1 - 3
HEW
6%
12%
83%
|
7 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
KBC
4 - 3
ALE
86%
10%
5%
|
8 | 18 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Germania Erftstadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2017 |
GER
1 - 1
NIE
42%
21%
37%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
GER
2 - 0
AAA
63%
20%
17%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
SVS
0 - 1
GER
55%
20%
25%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
GER
0 - 0
DUR
32%
22%
47%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
HEW
4 - 1
GER
75%
15%
10%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | -1 |