Alemannia Aachen vs Rot-Weiss Essen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
15.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
VEL
1 - 0
AAA
26%
26%
48%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2015 |
AAA
3 - 1
WEG
77%
15%
8%
|
50 | 28 | 22 | +2 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
WAT
3 - 1
AAA
30%
26%
45%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | -2 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
AAA
2 - 2
ERN
78%
15%
7%
|
52 | 31 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2015 |
AAA
0 - 1
ROD
59%
22%
19%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
ROT
2 - 0
RWA
74%
16%
10%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
SPO
3 - 1
ROT
61%
23%
17%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2015 |
ROT
1 - 1
VIK
26%
25%
49%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
VER
1 - 1
ROT
51%
24%
24%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
ROT
3 - 2
FOR
49%
25%
27%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +1 |