Alemannia Aachen vs Rot-Weiß Oberhausen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
27.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2003 |
WAL
2 - 1
AAA
34%
24%
42%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
AAA
3 - 0
M05
30%
26%
44%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2003 |
FCU
3 - 2
AAA
48%
25%
27%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2003 |
AAA
1 - 3
EBT
60%
23%
17%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | -2 |
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
LUB
2 - 0
AAA
38%
24%
38%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Rot-Weiß Oberhausen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2003 |
ROT
3 - 1
MSV
43%
26%
31%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
KSC
2 - 1
ROT
39%
27%
34%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2003 |
ROT
0 - 0
WAC
55%
24%
21%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2003 |
KOL
2 - 0
ROT
71%
18%
11%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
ROT
2 - 3
SGF
36%
26%
39%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |