Alemannia Aachen vs SpVgg Erkenschwick analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
11.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-74%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1998 |
AAA
2 - 1
ELV
67%
20%
14%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1998 |
VER
5 - 3
AAA
49%
24%
27%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -2 |
| 09 Oct. 1998 |
AAA
1 - 1
BAY
52%
22%
25%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1998 |
HOM
2 - 2
AAA
43%
26%
31%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1998 |
AAA
2 - 0
SAL
67%
20%
13%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
SpVgg Erkenschwick
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1998 |
ERK
2 - 1
FCR
55%
23%
22%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1998 |
SPO
3 - 1
ERK
72%
18%
10%
|
42 | 60 | 18 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 1998 |
ERK
0 - 6
PAD
36%
26%
39%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | -2 |
| 10 Oct. 1998 |
KAI
1 - 3
ERK
66%
20%
14%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | +2 |
| 04 Oct. 1998 |
ERK
0 - 3
SAA
25%
24%
51%
|
43 | 59 | 16 | -1 |