Alemannia Aachen vs Bayreuth SpVgg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.4%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
15.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1982 |
WAL
0 - 0
AAA
57%
24%
19%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1982 |
AAA
2 - 2
S04
46%
25%
29%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1982 |
SVS
3 - 0
AAA
64%
21%
16%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1982 |
AAA
2 - 0
FRE
63%
20%
17%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1982 |
USO
0 - 1
AAA
55%
24%
21%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1982 |
BAY
0 - 2
FRE
58%
22%
20%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1982 |
USO
1 - 0
BAY
56%
22%
22%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 1982 |
BAY
1 - 0
OSN
51%
24%
25%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 1982 |
MUN
1 - 2
BAY
66%
20%
13%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1982 |
BAY
0 - 1
OFC
36%
25%
40%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |