Alemannia Aachen vs Arminia Bielefeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
20.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
COT
0 - 2
AAA
37%
26%
37%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
AAA
2 - 1
M05
51%
25%
24%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2007 |
WOL
2 - 0
AAA
48%
25%
28%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
BOC
2 - 2
AAA
49%
24%
27%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
AAA
1 - 0
BYM
19%
23%
58%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
M05
1 - 0
ARB
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
ARB
3 - 2
FCN
33%
26%
41%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
COT
2 - 1
ARB
42%
28%
31%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
ARB
1 - 3
BOC
41%
27%
33%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
BYM
1 - 0
ARB
73%
18%
10%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | 0 |