Germany U17s vs Italy U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
19.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany U17s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2019 |
SVN
0 - 1
DEU
7%
13%
79%
|
61 | 41 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
DEU
3 - 3
ISL
80%
13%
7%
|
62 | 42 | 20 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2019 |
DEU
1 - 1
BLR
81%
12%
6%
|
62 | 37 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2018 |
ESP
5 - 1
DEU
46%
25%
29%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2018 |
SRB
0 - 3
DEU
23%
24%
53%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Italy U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2019 |
AUT
1 - 4
ITA
30%
26%
45%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
ITA
3 - 0
ROU
66%
20%
14%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2019 |
ITA
2 - 0
TUR
58%
23%
19%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2018 |
HRV
0 - 3
ITA
38%
23%
39%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2018 |
ITA
3 - 0
ARM
73%
17%
10%
|
55 | 23 | 32 | 0 |