Germany U21 vs Mexico U21s analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.7%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.4%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.6%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.2%
5.1%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2018 |
KOS
0 - 0
DEU
10%
15%
75%
|
80 | 56 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2018 |
DEU
3 - 0
ISR
72%
18%
11%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2017 |
ISR
2 - 5
DEU
22%
22%
57%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2017 |
AZE
0 - 7
DEU
4%
11%
84%
|
79 | 46 | 33 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2017 |
NOR
3 - 1
DEU
10%
16%
74%
|
80 | 57 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Mexico U21s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2018 |
HAI
1 - 1
MEX
6%
14%
80%
|
59 | 8 | 51 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2018 |
MEX
0 - 1
SLV
86%
11%
4%
|
59 | 11 | 48 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
MEX
1 - 2
VEN
68%
18%
14%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
MEX
5 - 0
JAM
87%
10%
3%
|
60 | 5 | 55 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2014 |
MEX
2 - 0
SLV
86%
11%
3%
|
60 | 10 | 50 | 0 |