Germany U21 vs Hungría Sub 21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.9%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
14.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
16.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.9%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.9%
4.2%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2017 |
DEU
1 - 0
ESP
33%
24%
43%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2017 |
ENG
2 - 2
DEU
45%
23%
33%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2017 |
ITA
1 - 0
DEU
31%
25%
45%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2017 |
DEU
3 - 0
DNK
69%
18%
13%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
DEU
2 - 0
CZE
61%
21%
18%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Hungría Sub 21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2017 |
AUT
2 - 1
HUN
76%
16%
9%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2017 |
SVK
4 - 0
HUN
66%
20%
14%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2017 |
GRC
2 - 1
HUN
57%
22%
20%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2016 |
GRC
3 - 1
HUN
54%
24%
23%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2016 |
HUN
3 - 3
PRT
10%
19%
72%
|
55 | 80 | 25 | 0 |