Alemania U19 vs Italia U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.1%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
14.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemania U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2015 |
RUS
2 - 2
GER
30%
24%
46%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2015 |
GER
1 - 0
NED
63%
20%
17%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2015 |
GER
0 - 3
ESP
37%
24%
39%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2015 |
CZE
0 - 6
GER
19%
21%
60%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
GER
3 - 2
IRL
78%
14%
8%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Italia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
ITA
2 - 2
TUR
43%
24%
33%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
SUI
0 - 2
ITA
24%
22%
54%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2016 |
ISR
0 - 4
ITA
23%
22%
55%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
ENG
0 - 0
ITA
56%
22%
23%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
ITA
3 - 2
MKD
77%
15%
8%
|
61 | 43 | 18 | +1 |