Alemania U16 vs Austria U16 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.1%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
20%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
20.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemania U16
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2025 |
GER
6 - 2
AUT
55%
21%
24%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2025 |
ITA
1 - 3
GER
28%
22%
50%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2025 |
ITA
2 - 3
GER
32%
23%
46%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2025 |
POR
2 - 2
GER
33%
23%
44%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
NED
1 - 0
GER
29%
22%
49%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Austria U16
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2025 |
GER
6 - 2
AUT
55%
21%
24%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2025 |
AUT
7 - 0
MDA
56%
21%
23%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2025 |
AUT
6 - 1
MDA
49%
22%
28%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
TUR
5 - 2
AUT
53%
21%
26%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2025 |
BEL
2 - 2
AUT
32%
24%
44%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |