Oberliga NRW Round 11

Alemannia Aachen II vs MSV Duisburg II analysis

Alemannia Aachen II MSV Duisburg II
37 ELO 36
2.9% Tilt 0.7%
29693º General ELO ranking 22579º
885º Country ELO ranking 749º
ELO win probability
51%
Alemannia Aachen II
23.2%
Draw
25.8%
MSV Duisburg II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51%
Win probability
Alemannia Aachen II
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
25.8%
Win probability
MSV Duisburg II
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Alemannia Aachen II
MSV Duisburg II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Alemannia Aachen II
Alemannia Aachen II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Oct. 2011
VIK
Viktoria Köln
3 - 0
Alemannia Aachen II
AAA
73%
17%
10%
38 55 17 0
15 Oct. 2011
AAA
Alemannia Aachen II
3 - 2
Westfalia Rhynern
WER
74%
16%
10%
38 24 14 0
09 Oct. 2011
AAA
Alemannia Aachen II
1 - 0
Westfalia Herne
WHE
73%
16%
11%
38 24 14 0
02 Oct. 2011
SWE
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
1 - 2
Alemannia Aachen II
AAA
40%
26%
34%
37 36 1 +1
25 Sep. 2011
AAA
Alemannia Aachen II
0 - 1
Siegen Sportfreunde
SPO
49%
24%
28%
38 38 0 -1

Matches

MSV Duisburg II
MSV Duisburg II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Oct. 2011
MSV
MSV Duisburg II
1 - 1
Arminia Bielefeld II
ABI
52%
22%
26%
36 36 0 0
16 Oct. 2011
RWA
Rot Weiss Ahlen
0 - 2
MSV Duisburg II
MSV
70%
18%
12%
34 45 11 +2
09 Oct. 2011
MSV
MSV Duisburg II
1 - 1
Velbert
VEL
42%
23%
34%
34 37 3 0
02 Oct. 2011
VIK
Viktoria Köln
1 - 0
MSV Duisburg II
MSV
76%
16%
9%
34 54 20 0
25 Sep. 2011
MSV
MSV Duisburg II
2 - 0
Westfalia Rhynern
WER
69%
17%
14%
34 27 7 0