Alegría vs Zaramaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.5%
1-0
3%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.1%
17%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
69.1%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
5%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.9%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alegría
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
AUR
6 - 1
ALE
91%
7%
2%
|
9 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
ALE
0 - 7
IKE
6%
13%
82%
|
9 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
ALE
1 - 0
ANS
10%
15%
75%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | +2 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
AMU
7 - 1
ALE
91%
7%
2%
|
7 | 25 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2019 |
ALE
0 - 3
IRU
4%
11%
85%
|
7 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Zaramaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
ELP
2 - 2
ZAR
54%
21%
25%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
ZAR
1 - 1
AUR
26%
23%
51%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
ZAR
1 - 4
IKE
21%
20%
58%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | -2 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
ANS
2 - 3
ZAR
60%
19%
21%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | +2 |
| 28 Dec. 2019 |
ZAR
0 - 5
AMU
18%
22%
60%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | -2 |