Alegría vs San Viator analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.6%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.6%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.5%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.2%
79.2%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
10.4%
1-4
5.5%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
17.2%
0-4
7.2%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.8%
0-5
4%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.6%
0-6
1.8%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.5%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+79%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alegría
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
CDS
4 - 1
ALE
76%
14%
10%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
ALE
2 - 2
ADC
62%
18%
21%
|
8 | 5 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
ALE
2 - 1
CSV
7%
13%
80%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
ZUI
2 - 2
ALE
68%
18%
15%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
ALE
0 - 2
LAU
8%
15%
77%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
San Viator
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
ADC
4 - 7
CSV
7%
12%
81%
|
16 | 5 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
ALE
2 - 1
CSV
7%
13%
80%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
CSV
2 - 0
ZAR
78%
13%
9%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
AUR
4 - 0
CSV
54%
20%
26%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
CSV
2 - 2
IKE
36%
22%
42%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |