Alecrim vs Palmeira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.8%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
13.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alecrim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2021 |
VIC
1 - 0
ALE
13%
17%
70%
|
36 | 11 | 25 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2020 |
ALE
3 - 0
PAR
79%
13%
8%
|
36 | 8 | 28 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2020 |
PAL
0 - 1
ALE
25%
22%
53%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
ABC
2 - 1
ALE
77%
15%
8%
|
36 | 56 | 20 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
ALE
0 - 1
SAN
50%
23%
27%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Palmeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2021 |
PAL
4 - 1
PAR
77%
14%
9%
|
23 | 8 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2020 |
VIC
0 - 2
PAL
17%
19%
64%
|
23 | 12 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2020 |
PAL
0 - 1
ALE
25%
22%
53%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2020 |
PAL
2 - 2
POT
25%
23%
53%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2020 |
ARN
3 - 1
PAL
84%
11%
5%
|
24 | 51 | 27 | -1 |