Alecrim vs Macau EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.4%
7.6%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alecrim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2006 |
BAR
3 - 1
ALE
47%
23%
30%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
SGO
2 - 3
ALE
32%
24%
45%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2006 |
ALE
2 - 1
ACD
77%
15%
8%
|
49 | 30 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
PEC
3 - 0
ALE
64%
20%
16%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2006 |
ALE
1 - 0
POT
71%
17%
12%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Macau EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2006 |
PEC
1 - 2
MEC
78%
14%
7%
|
26 | 59 | 33 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
MEC
0 - 0
COR
34%
23%
43%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2006 |
MEC
1 - 2
ASS
16%
20%
63%
|
26 | 49 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
MEC
3 - 0
ACD
40%
24%
36%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | +3 |
| 15 Feb. 2006 |
BAR
3 - 0
MEC
82%
12%
6%
|
24 | 46 | 22 | -1 |