Alecrim vs ABC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
52.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alecrim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2009 |
ALE
0 - 1
SAN
47%
24%
29%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
ARN
5 - 0
ALE
70%
19%
12%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
ALE
0 - 2
ASS
44%
25%
31%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -2 |
| 23 Jan. 2009 |
BAR
1 - 1
ALE
47%
24%
29%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
ALE
1 - 3
POT
50%
24%
26%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2009 |
ABC
3 - 1
POT
66%
20%
15%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
BAR
2 - 1
ABC
26%
24%
50%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2009 |
ABC
2 - 1
ASS
64%
20%
16%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
ABC
4 - 0
COR
74%
17%
10%
|
58 | 35 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 0
ABC
22%
23%
55%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | 0 |