Aldeano vs Alfaro B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.7%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.6%
29.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
+54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aldeano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
RBF
0 - 6
ALD
14%
17%
68%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
ALD
0 - 2
SPO
73%
15%
13%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
PRM
2 - 3
ALD
56%
20%
25%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
ALD
1 - 1
VIL
24%
21%
56%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
ALB
2 - 0
ALD
70%
16%
14%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Alfaro B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
CFC
2 - 2
CAL
37%
24%
39%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
LOG
4 - 1
CFC
50%
20%
30%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
CFC
8 - 0
ILO
82%
12%
6%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
VAR
3 - 1
CFC
56%
19%
24%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
CFC
0 - 1
SMA
23%
22%
55%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | 0 |