Alcoyano vs Tenerife analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
44.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
BNS
1 - 0
ALC
22%
26%
53%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
ALC
1 - 1
HOS
54%
25%
21%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2012 |
ALC
2 - 0
ATB
55%
23%
22%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
BAD
2 - 0
ALC
32%
28%
40%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -2 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
ALC
1 - 0
HER
21%
25%
55%
|
56 | 76 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Tenerife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
CDO
2 - 3
CDT
12%
24%
64%
|
64 | 43 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
CDT
2 - 0
RVB
77%
16%
7%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 2
CDT
18%
25%
58%
|
64 | 36 | 28 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
UDL
1 - 0
CDT
60%
22%
18%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
CDT
0 - 0
UDL
38%
24%
38%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |