Alcoyano vs Novelda CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.9%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.2%
4-0
10%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13%
3-0
13.8%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.3%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.2%
3.8%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1969 |
ILI
0 - 3
ALC
26%
27%
47%
|
60 | 28 | 32 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1969 |
ALC
4 - 1
CAL
83%
12%
5%
|
60 | 40 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1969 |
MLL
2 - 1
ALC
70%
19%
10%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 1969 |
ALC
4 - 1
JER
78%
14%
8%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1969 |
PUE
3 - 3
ALC
66%
21%
13%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1969 |
NOV
2 - 1
CFC
28%
27%
45%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1969 |
ALB
2 - 0
NOV
69%
19%
12%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1969 |
NOV
1 - 3
IMP
55%
23%
22%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -3 |
| 01 Jun. 1969 |
ILI
2 - 0
NOV
50%
25%
26%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 May. 1969 |
NOV
6 - 3
PAI
54%
22%
23%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +1 |