Alcoyano vs UD Melilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.8%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
17.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1954 |
UDE
1 - 0
ALC
59%
21%
20%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1954 |
CAT
4 - 0
ALC
71%
16%
13%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 1954 |
ALC
0 - 0
MAL
45%
23%
32%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1954 |
MUR
4 - 0
ALC
60%
21%
19%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 1954 |
ALC
1 - 1
HER
61%
19%
20%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1954 |
MEL
4 - 2
VAL
59%
21%
20%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1954 |
MLL
1 - 1
MEL
66%
18%
16%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1954 |
CAS
5 - 2
MEL
61%
20%
19%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 1954 |
MEL
1 - 0
CDT
52%
22%
25%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1954 |
MEL
1 - 0
UDL
52%
23%
25%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +1 |