LaLiga Round 16

Alcoyano vs Celta analysis

Alcoyano Celta
78 ELO 80
-4.3% Tilt -4.6%
2641º General ELO ranking 60º
85º Country ELO ranking 13º
ELO win probability
45%
Alcoyano
21.9%
Draw
33.1%
Celta

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45%
Win probability
Alcoyano
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
33.1%
Win probability
Celta
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Alcoyano
-10%
+2%
Celta

ELO progression

Alcoyano
Celta
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Alcoyano
Alcoyano
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Jan. 1948
FCB
Barcelona
3 - 0
Alcoyano
ALC
73%
15%
12%
77 85 8 0
04 Jan. 1948
ALC
Alcoyano
2 - 1
Real Madrid
RMA
37%
24%
39%
77 85 8 0
21 Dec. 1947
ALC
Alcoyano
2 - 1
Gimnàstic Tarragona
GIM
57%
20%
23%
77 75 2 0
14 Dec. 1947
SAB
CE Sabadell
3 - 2
Alcoyano
ALC
57%
20%
23%
77 77 0 0
07 Dec. 1947
OVI
Real Oviedo
4 - 3
Alcoyano
ALC
65%
18%
17%
77 80 3 0

Matches

Celta
Celta
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Jan. 1948
CEL
Celta
4 - 2
Real Oviedo
OVI
60%
19%
21%
80 81 1 0
04 Jan. 1948
ATH
Athletic
5 - 0
Celta
CEL
77%
13%
11%
80 86 6 0
21 Dec. 1947
VCF
Valencia
7 - 1
Celta
CEL
73%
15%
12%
81 87 6 -1
14 Dec. 1947
CEL
Celta
4 - 0
Espanyol
ESP
67%
17%
17%
80 79 1 +1
07 Dec. 1947
ATM
Atlético
3 - 1
Celta
CEL
71%
15%
14%
80 84 4 0