Alcoyano vs Cádiz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
34%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1986 |
LLE
4 - 1
ALC
63%
23%
14%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1986 |
ALC
2 - 1
PBL
66%
21%
13%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 1986 |
ALC
3 - 0
DEP
51%
24%
26%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +2 |
| 19 Oct. 1986 |
MLL
3 - 0
ALC
30%
33%
37%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 1986 |
ALC
0 - 0
PON
62%
23%
15%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Cádiz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1986 |
ESP
1 - 0
CAD
67%
20%
13%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1986 |
CAD
0 - 0
RMA
19%
24%
57%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1986 |
ROC
0 - 3
CAD
23%
24%
54%
|
75 | 34 | 41 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1986 |
VAD
1 - 1
CAD
69%
19%
12%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1986 |
CAD
1 - 0
ATH
34%
31%
35%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | +1 |