Alcover vs Llorenç analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.1%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.7%
50.9%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+277%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcover
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
CUN
4 - 2
ALC
87%
9%
4%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
ALC
3 - 2
BAS
18%
19%
64%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | +2 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
ALC
1 - 5
VEN
17%
18%
64%
|
8 | 14 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
VAL
2 - 0
ALC
85%
10%
5%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
UDT
1 - 0
ALC
82%
12%
6%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Llorenç
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
LLO
1 - 0
VAL
16%
17%
67%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
UDT
4 - 1
LLO
77%
14%
9%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
LLO
1 - 3
RBA
57%
19%
24%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | -2 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
MON
1 - 1
LLO
34%
22%
44%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
LLO
7 - 3
RIE
62%
18%
20%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |