Alcorisa vs Mazaleon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.4%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.2%
8.4%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcorisa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
TOR
1 - 3
ALC
25%
22%
54%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
PRO
0 - 2
ALC
29%
23%
48%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
CUA
11 - 2
ALC
82%
12%
6%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
ALC
2 - 2
CDD
24%
24%
53%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
CDM
3 - 2
ALC
43%
24%
32%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Mazaleon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
MAZ
1 - 2
ESC
41%
23%
36%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
HIJ
4 - 1
MAZ
48%
23%
29%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -2 |