Paracuellos MX vs RSD Alcalá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
21.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paracuellos MX
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
STA
2 - 3
ALC
29%
25%
46%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
ALC
1 - 0
ALC
49%
23%
28%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
TRC
0 - 1
ALC
20%
24%
56%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
ALC
0 - 0
CDV
74%
17%
9%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
VIL
1 - 2
ALC
27%
26%
47%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
RSD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
ALC
0 - 1
ADP
61%
22%
17%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
ALC
1 - 0
SAG
67%
20%
13%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
STA
0 - 0
ALC
33%
26%
41%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
ALC
1 - 2
ALC
48%
24%
28%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -2 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
TRC
0 - 0
ALC
20%
24%
56%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | -1 |