Alcides vs SC NEC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.6%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
21.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcides
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
ALC
2 - 0
BEQ
36%
25%
39%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
DEB
6 - 3
ALC
27%
23%
51%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | -3 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
ALC
2 - 0
ARH
57%
21%
23%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
ROH
0 - 0
ALC
53%
23%
24%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
ALC
1 - 1
MSC
35%
24%
41%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
SC NEC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
SCN
2 - 1
ROH
30%
23%
47%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
FVC
1 - 1
SCN
41%
24%
36%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
SCN
2 - 2
DEB
56%
21%
23%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
MSC
2 - 0
SCN
74%
15%
10%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | -2 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
SCN
1 - 2
RKH
39%
22%
39%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |