Alcides vs SC NEC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.9%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
22.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcides
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
LON
2 - 2
ALC
29%
23%
48%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
ALC
3 - 1
RKH
49%
22%
29%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
FVC
2 - 1
ALC
30%
24%
46%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
ALC
2 - 2
BEQ
38%
26%
36%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
MSC
2 - 2
ALC
59%
21%
20%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
SC NEC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
SCN
4 - 4
SWZ
52%
23%
26%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
ALV
1 - 1
SCN
43%
23%
34%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
SCN
2 - 2
ROH
49%
24%
27%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
QUI
1 - 1
SCN
51%
23%
26%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
SCN
1 - 2
ROH
55%
23%
23%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |