Alcides vs MSC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
41.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcides
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
JUL
2 - 0
ALC
45%
23%
32%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
ALC
2 - 0
FVC
72%
16%
12%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
ACH
1 - 2
ALC
34%
24%
43%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
ALC
1 - 1
RKH
52%
22%
27%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
SCN
3 - 1
ALC
39%
23%
38%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
MSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
MSC
4 - 0
GER
74%
15%
10%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
ARH
1 - 3
MSC
39%
24%
36%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
MSC
0 - 0
BEQ
54%
22%
24%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
SWZ
1 - 1
MSC
47%
23%
30%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
MSC
6 - 0
DEB
76%
15%
10%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | +1 |