Alcides vs Joure analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.6%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.3%
6.1%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcides
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
SCN
3 - 1
ALC
32%
24%
45%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
ALC
6 - 1
LON
69%
17%
14%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
RKH
1 - 1
ALC
42%
23%
35%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
ALC
3 - 0
FVC
64%
19%
17%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
USV
3 - 1
ALC
48%
23%
29%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Joure
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
JOU
2 - 1
SWZ
11%
18%
72%
|
18 | 40 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
ALV
6 - 0
JOU
79%
14%
8%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
JOU
0 - 4
ROH
16%
22%
62%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
DEB
6 - 2
JOU
83%
12%
5%
|
19 | 38 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
HOO
3 - 0
JOU
82%
12%
6%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | -1 |