Alcides vs Achilles 1894 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
16.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcides
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
RKH
1 - 1
ALC
50%
22%
28%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
ALC
3 - 1
SWZ
25%
23%
52%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | +3 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
ALC
0 - 1
SCN
57%
22%
21%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
ALC
2 - 0
BEQ
36%
25%
39%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +2 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
DEB
6 - 3
ALC
27%
23%
51%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | -3 |
Matches
Achilles 1894
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
ACH
4 - 3
DEB
57%
21%
23%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
BEQ
1 - 1
ACH
68%
18%
14%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
ACH
2 - 1
JUL
28%
23%
50%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +3 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
FVC
3 - 2
ACH
35%
24%
41%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
ACH
0 - 3
MSC
27%
23%
51%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | -3 |