Alcanenense vs Carapinheirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
10.5%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcanenense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
VIL
3 - 1
ALC
21%
22%
57%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
ALC
2 - 1
MAF
30%
28%
43%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
ALC
0 - 0
CAL
50%
25%
25%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
GDR
0 - 1
ALC
20%
24%
56%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
ALC
0 - 0
ANG
75%
17%
9%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Carapinheirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
MAF
1 - 0
CAR
72%
19%
9%
|
25 | 53 | 28 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 1
VIT
30%
22%
47%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
OPE
7 - 1
CAR
80%
14%
6%
|
26 | 49 | 23 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
CAR
5 - 0
ANM
77%
14%
9%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
IDE
4 - 1
CAR
80%
13%
7%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | -1 |