Alcanenense vs Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
28.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcanenense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
ALC
4 - 0
ATL
81%
13%
6%
|
38 | 16 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
UDL
1 - 2
ALC
72%
18%
10%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
ALC
1 - 0
ADP
82%
13%
6%
|
37 | 15 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2013 |
ALC
2 - 1
LOU
51%
23%
26%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
VST
3 - 1
ALC
90%
8%
2%
|
37 | 67 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
TOR
1 - 2
CAL
59%
23%
19%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
CAL
2 - 0
LOU
50%
24%
27%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
FAT
1 - 0
CAL
67%
19%
14%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
GFC
5 - 0
CAL
89%
8%
2%
|
37 | 72 | 35 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
ATL
0 - 2
CAL
12%
19%
69%
|
37 | 14 | 23 | 0 |